1. What is the projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of the Automotive Crankshaft?
The projected CAGR is approximately 2.8%.
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Automotive Crankshaft by Type (Forged Steel, Cast Iron/Steel, Machined Billet), by Application (Passenger Car, Buses and Coaches, HCV, LCV), by North America (United States, Canada, Mexico), by South America (Brazil, Argentina, Rest of South America), by Europe (United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Russia, Benelux, Nordics, Rest of Europe), by Middle East & Africa (Turkey, Israel, GCC, North Africa, South Africa, Rest of Middle East & Africa), by Asia Pacific (China, India, Japan, South Korea, ASEAN, Oceania, Rest of Asia Pacific) Forecast 2025-2033
The global automotive crankshaft market, valued at $2446.9 million in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, driven by the increasing demand for vehicles globally, particularly in developing economies. The market's Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.8% from 2025 to 2033 indicates a consistent expansion, although not explosive. Key growth drivers include the rising production of passenger cars and commercial vehicles, the ongoing trend towards lightweighting in automotive design to improve fuel efficiency (favoring forged steel crankshafts), and the increasing adoption of advanced engine technologies. Segment-wise, forged steel crankshafts currently dominate due to their superior strength and durability, while the passenger car segment is the largest application area. However, growth in the heavy commercial vehicle (HCV) segment is expected to be relatively faster due to increasing freight transportation demand. Market restraints include fluctuating raw material prices (particularly steel) and stringent emission regulations which influence engine design and thus crankshaft requirements. Competition is intense among established players like DENSO, Continental AG, and Bosch, alongside regional manufacturers, resulting in a dynamic market landscape characterized by technological advancements and strategic partnerships.
The geographic distribution of the market reveals significant regional variations. North America and Europe, while mature markets, continue to contribute substantially due to the presence of major automotive manufacturers and a large existing vehicle fleet. However, the fastest growth is likely to occur in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly in China and India, fueled by rapid automotive industry expansion and increasing vehicle ownership. This growth is likely to be driven by an increase in the production and sales of light commercial vehicles (LCVs) and passenger cars in these regions. The South American and Middle Eastern & African markets are expected to show moderate growth, influenced by economic conditions and infrastructure development. The competitive landscape will likely see continued consolidation, with larger players seeking to expand their market share through acquisitions and technological innovations.
The global automotive crankshaft market is experiencing significant growth, driven by the burgeoning automotive industry and the increasing demand for fuel-efficient and high-performance vehicles. Over the study period (2019-2033), the market is projected to witness substantial expansion, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding expectations. The estimated market value in 2025 surpasses several billion units, indicating strong demand across various vehicle segments. This growth is fueled by several factors including the rising production of passenger cars, particularly in developing economies, and a consistent need for replacement parts in the aftermarket. Furthermore, advancements in materials science and manufacturing techniques are leading to the development of lighter, stronger, and more durable crankshafts, enhancing vehicle performance and fuel efficiency. The shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) presents both challenges and opportunities. While the internal combustion engine (ICE) crankshaft market might see a relative decline, the demand for crankshafts in hybrid vehicles and for ancillary components within EVs remains significant. The market landscape is characterized by a mix of established players and emerging manufacturers, leading to intense competition and continuous innovation. This competitive environment is driving down costs and improving the quality and performance of automotive crankshafts. The forecast period (2025-2033) is expected to see continued growth, with the market value potentially exceeding another several billion units by 2033, driven by sustained vehicle production and technological advancements. The historical period (2019-2024) showcased steady growth, laying the foundation for the anticipated expansion in the coming years. The market’s performance is closely tied to the global economic climate and automotive production trends, making it a dynamic and evolving sector.
Several factors are driving the growth of the automotive crankshaft market. The most significant is the continued expansion of the global automotive industry, especially in emerging markets. Increased vehicle production, particularly of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (LCVs), directly translates to a greater demand for crankshafts. The rising disposable income in developing nations is fueling this growth, as more people can afford to purchase automobiles. Further propelling the market is the ongoing demand for improved fuel efficiency and reduced emissions. Manufacturers are investing heavily in research and development to create lighter and more efficient crankshafts, utilizing advanced materials and manufacturing processes. This focus on optimizing engine performance is a key driver for the market. Moreover, the growing popularity of hybrid and electric vehicles, though potentially reducing the demand for traditional ICE crankshafts in the long term, creates demand for specialized crankshafts within hybrid powertrains and for ancillary components in EVs. This diversification ensures continued market growth across different vehicle types. Finally, the robust aftermarket for replacement crankshafts, driven by the aging vehicle population and the need for repairs and maintenance, contributes significantly to market volume. The combined effect of these driving forces ensures the continued expansion of the automotive crankshaft market in the coming years.
Despite the positive growth outlook, the automotive crankshaft market faces several challenges. The fluctuating prices of raw materials, particularly steel and other metals, pose a significant risk, impacting manufacturing costs and profitability. Geopolitical instability and supply chain disruptions can further exacerbate this issue, leading to production delays and increased expenses. The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) presents a potential long-term challenge, as EVs do not require the same type of crankshaft as traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. This transition could lead to a decreased demand for traditional crankshafts in the future. Furthermore, stringent emission regulations and environmental concerns are putting pressure on manufacturers to develop more sustainable and environmentally friendly manufacturing processes. Meeting these regulations can be costly and complex, requiring significant investments in new technologies and infrastructure. Finally, intense competition among established and emerging players in the market leads to price pressures and a constant need for innovation to remain competitive. Manufacturers must continuously strive for improved efficiency, quality, and cost-effectiveness to maintain their market share.
The automotive crankshaft market is geographically diverse, with significant contributions from various regions. However, Asia-Pacific, particularly China, India, and Japan, is expected to dominate the market due to its massive automotive production capacity and growing demand for vehicles. Within this region, the passenger car segment is projected to show the highest growth.
Regarding market segments, the forged steel crankshaft type is anticipated to hold the largest market share due to its superior strength, durability, and ability to withstand high stress conditions. Forged steel crankshafts are favored in high-performance engines and heavy-duty vehicles. The passenger car application segment is projected to dominate the market due to the significantly higher production volume of passenger cars compared to other vehicle types.
The automotive crankshaft industry’s growth is fueled by several key factors: The ongoing rise in global automotive production, particularly in developing economies, is a major catalyst. The increasing demand for fuel-efficient and high-performance vehicles drives the need for advanced crankshaft designs and materials. Furthermore, the significant growth in the aftermarket replacement market contributes to continued demand for crankshafts. Finally, ongoing technological advancements in materials science and manufacturing processes are allowing the production of lighter, stronger, and more durable crankshafts, further enhancing the industry's prospects.
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the automotive crankshaft market, covering historical data, current market dynamics, and future projections. The report's insights are invaluable for manufacturers, suppliers, investors, and other stakeholders seeking to understand the market's growth trajectory, key trends, and opportunities within this crucial automotive component sector. It also highlights the impact of technological advancements, regulatory changes, and evolving consumer preferences on the market landscape.
| Aspects | Details |
|---|---|
| Study Period | 2019-2033 |
| Base Year | 2024 |
| Estimated Year | 2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2025-2033 |
| Historical Period | 2019-2024 |
| Growth Rate | CAGR of 2.8% from 2019-2033 |
| Segmentation |
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Note*: In applicable scenarios
Primary Research
Secondary Research

Involves using different sources of information in order to increase the validity of a study
These sources are likely to be stakeholders in a program - participants, other researchers, program staff, other community members, and so on.
Then we put all data in single framework & apply various statistical tools to find out the dynamic on the market.
During the analysis stage, feedback from the stakeholder groups would be compared to determine areas of agreement as well as areas of divergence
The projected CAGR is approximately 2.8%.
Key companies in the market include DENSO, Continental AG, Aisin Seiki, Bosch Group, JTEKT, Delphi Automotive PLC, Mitsubishi Electric, Visteon, ThyssenKrupp, Maschinenfabrik Alfing Kessler, FEUER Powertrain, Neue Halberg-Guss, Darcast, Arrow Precision, CIE Automotive, Teksid, Ellwood Crankshaft, Atlas Industries, NSI Crankshaft, Kellogg Crankshaft, Quimmco, TFO Corporation, Metalart Corporation, Kakuta Iron Works, Guilin Fuda, Zhejiang Sun Stock, Jiangsu Songlin, .
The market segments include Type, Application.
The market size is estimated to be USD 2446.9 million as of 2022.
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The market size is provided in terms of value, measured in million and volume, measured in K.
Yes, the market keyword associated with the report is "Automotive Crankshaft," which aids in identifying and referencing the specific market segment covered.
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